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  • 人工智能處理的是符號與符號之間的關系,

    人類頭腦處理的是真實世界到符號的投影。

    ------郝景芳,“雨果獎”獲得

    在2019百度AI開發者大會上

    李彥宏被潑水,

    迅速在熱搜上產生了一個新名詞

    宏顏獲水
    礦泉水從李彥宏的頭上倒下,

    整個會場,

    突然陷入了寂靜。

    臺上的李彥宏也懵了幾秒,

    他邊擦臉上的水邊問:

    “What's your problem?”

    事后百度官方微博回應稱:
    今天AI開發者大會上,

    有人給AI“潑冷水”。

    我們想說,

    AI前進的道路上會有

    各種各樣想象不到的事情發生,

    但我們前行的決心不會改變

    • 我們首先看一個很有趣的現象:
    在美國的電影
    《終結者》或《黑客帝國》中,

    人工智能最終的目的是統治地球,
    征服和奴役人類。
    而在日本的動漫作品中,
    人工智能通常都是人類的朋友或拯救者

    如可愛的哆啦A夢,
    一個從22世紀穿越過來的
    人工智能貓形機器人。
    這其實代表了
    人工智能的支持派和反對派。

    我們究竟應該是在某一邊站隊,

    還是靜觀其變?

    人工智能已經漸漸走進我們的生活,

    諸多崗位被替代,

    這是現代的我們無從回避的問題。

    我們就從戰勝圍棋冠軍的
    阿爾法狗”說起吧!
    在“阿爾法狗”誕生之前,
    機器人是人類將已有的方法和學問
    輸入給它,
    而“阿爾法狗”是將無數棋譜丟給它,
    通過自己學習,
    創造了人類沒有的招式,
    戰勝了圍棋冠軍。

    “阿爾法狗”的學習方式

    稱為“深層學習”,

    是模仿人類的“多層神經網絡”,

    但人類的多層只能達到六層,
    而“阿爾法狗”達到了幾百層
    并且有持續增進的能力。
    聽起來超厲害,
    就像我們已經接受的現實——
    知識再淵博的人也比不過維基百科
    人類難道真的要眼睜睜看著自己
    成為人工智能的奴隸嗎?

    我們現在從另一個方面,

    繼續“阿爾法狗”吧!

    “阿爾法狗”模擬的

    是我們的“上層大腦”,

    所以對于它來說,

    越是人類覺得簡單,

    越常識性的東西就越困難。

    舉個簡單的例子,
    超市店員和“阿爾法狗”
    同時看到一個人
    從超市貨架上拿了一瓶酒,
    從門口跑出去。
    對于店員,
    這非常簡單,
    他馬上可以判斷出這是一個小偷,
    可以一邊喊一遍追出去,
    也可以馬上報警。
    但對于“阿爾法狗”來說,
    一瓶放在超市的酒
    和一瓶放在公園的酒
    并無兩樣,
    需要它識別人拿酒的動機,
    就需要輸入
    超市,店員、顧客、公園等等信息,
    這個世界隨時
    發生各種各樣的事件,
    需要輸入無數
    碎片知識,
    而這些知識又如何
    能被“阿爾法狗”瞬間調用,
    這都成問題。

    人類大腦的神奇之處

    在于其抽象能力

    所以

    一個小孩子只要看幾只鴨子的圖片,

    就能在生活中認出各種鴨子。


    但“阿爾法狗”需要大量鴨子的
    圖片信息,生理信息,行為信息等,
    而且在有效識別上,
    仍然不及一個孩子。
    例如現在的人臉識別,
    戴個眼鏡,
    變個發型或者打了瘦臉針,
    都可能辨認不出。


    最關鍵的是,

    任何人舉一張你的照片在AI面前,

    它依然識別為你。


    這就是為什么現在的人臉識別

    需要人眨眼搖頭等等,

    但這也有問題,

    萬一有人迫使你

    錄下了“眨眼搖頭”的錄像怎么辦?

    也有人說,

    技術在進步,

    各種算法在不斷更新迭代,

    如果運算速度越來越快,

    “阿爾法狗”對于綜合數據的判斷速度,

    依然會超過人類,

    這當然有可能,

    而且其準確度是人類無法比擬的。

    那么,人類最終會不會被AI終結?

    這是個太恐怖的畫面,

    我們繼續分析。
    這里面有個很重要的問題,
    就是AI為什么要征服人類?
    征服、欲望、嫉妒
    這是人類下層大腦的產物,
    在征服中產生快感,
    也是下層大腦的反應。

    就以“阿爾法狗”為例,

    它確實戰勝了圍棋冠軍,

    但實際上它并不知道自己在做什么,

    或者為什么這樣做。


    簡單地說,

    “阿爾法狗”沒有“我”的概念,

    沒有“我”的“元認知”,

    沒有和世界的邊界感,

    就不可能有占有、征服的欲望。


    所以,
    人類不會被AI終結,
    只會被自己的欲望終結。
    最有可能就是“賽博格”,
    英文是“cyborg”,
    即半機器人的意思。
    當野心家保留自己的下層大腦,
    然后植入“AI”的上層大腦,
    這將是一個令人恐懼的前景。

    有沒有瘋狂的野心家出現,
    他的快樂就是毀滅整個人類,
    誰也無法預測,
    人類總是在小心翼翼地前行,
    在不斷試錯不斷修正,
    總而言之,
    在謹慎中閃耀希望之光。

    靜心、凈心、輕科普,“妙觀志”是一本線上美學雜志

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